A monthly survey of service firms in New York State, northern New Jersey, and southwestern Connecticut, conducted by the New York Fed.
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Note: Survey responses were collected between August 4 and August 11. Download the full report ![]() |
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Business activity continued to decline in the region’s service sector in August, according to firms responding to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s Business Leaders Survey. The survey’s headline business activity index was little changed at -11.7. The business climate index remained negative at -39.3, suggesting the business climate remained worse than normal. Employment held steady, and wage growth was modest. Supply availability continued to worsen. The pace of input price increases remained moderate, and selling price increases remained significant. Firms turned pessimistic about the outlook.
Activity Continues to Decline
Business activity fell for a sixth consecutive month in the New York-Northern New Jersey region, according to the August survey. The headline business activity index edged down two points to -11.7. Twenty-three percent of respondents reported that conditions improved over the month while 35 percent said that conditions worsened. The business climate index remained negative at -39.3, with just over half of respondents saying that the business climate was worse than normal. Employment Holds Steady
The employment index moved down three points to 1.0, suggesting employment was little changed. The wages index held steady at 28.0, indicating that wages increased at about the same pace as last month. The prices paid index remained elevated at 64.3, while the prices received index edged up two points to 32.0, its highest reading since March of 2023, pointing to a small pickup in selling price increases. The supply availability index remained negative at -10.2, indicating that supply availability worsened. Firms Turn Pessimistic Again
The index for future business activity dropped back into negative territory, falling to -6.8, and the index for the future business climate held well below zero, suggesting firms were pessimistic about the outlook. The index for future prices paid remained elevated, and the index for future prices received climbed to its highest level since 2022, suggesting firms expect widespread price increases in the months ahead. Supply availability is expected to worsen, and capital spending plans were soft. Contacts Tech help: nyrsf.webteam@ny.frb.org Questions about survey/data: richard.deitz@ny.frb.org or (716) 849-5025 |
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The Business Leaders Survey is a monthly survey conducted by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York that asks companies across its District - which includes New York State, Northern New Jersey, and Fairfield County, Connecticut - about recent and expected trends in key business indicators. This survey is designed to parallel the Empire State Manufacturing Survey, though it covers a wider geography and the questions are slightly different. Participants from the service sector respond to a questionnaire and report on a variety of indicators, both in terms of recent and expected changes. While January 2014 is the first published report, survey responses date back to September of 2004 and all historical data are available on our website. Contacts |